Which assumptions hold, and which break?
Circonomit simulates scenarios and sensitivities on a living model: every assumption explicit, every consequence calculated, re-runnable at any time with new parameters.
Excel scenarios go stale the moment a parameter moves.
Excel scenarios are snapshots — copies that go stale the moment a parameter moves. A living model that survives changing assumptions is missing.
Sensitivities rarely get calculated. Which parameter swings how far before your decision flips, is known only when it happens.
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Scenarios in slides describe stories. Calculating them through — under your real constraints, with explicit sensitivities — that is where most scenario work ends.
Circonomit simulates on a living model.
Your spreadsheets produce snapshots. Circonomit simulates on a living model — re-runnable at any time with new assumptions, with explicit sensitivities per parameter.
Model
First the scenario problem is structured: which parameters drive the outcome? Which scenarios are decision-relevant? Which sensitivities matter? Circonomit connects your data into a calculable model with explicit parameters.
Simulate
What happens if a key parameter moves 12%? What does a combined shock across three parameters cost? Circonomit simulates every relevant scenario, with sensitivities per parameter.
Optimize
Circonomit calculates which decision holds up best across the scenario corridor, under your real conditions. Not the optimum for one case, the robust choice across the range — with an explicit price per alternative.
Robust decisions across the scenario corridor.
The result: a calculated model for your scenario question, with three to five quantified cases and sensitivity analyses per critical parameter. You see which decision holds up across the corridor, and what every deviation from the reference case concretely costs.
From Excel snapshot to living model.
You see which decision holds up across the scenario corridor — calculated, not guessed.
Every assumption is explicit. The model re-runs at any time with new parameters, without rebuilding it.
No new data project. Circonomit works with your existing data.
What you want to know.
Q:
How is this different from Excel scenario sheets?
A:
Excel scenarios are single snapshots — copies that go stale as soon as a parameter moves. Circonomit builds a living model you can re-run at any time with new assumptions, with explicit sensitivities per parameter. The work is not the scenario itself, it is keeping it defensible when the world moves.
Q:
What does the pilot concretely deliver after 3 weeks?
A:
A calculated model for the agreed scenario question, based on your real data. Three to five quantified scenarios with sensitivity analyses per critical parameter. A comparison against the current reference case. The success criterion is agreed in writing before work starts. Fixed price: EUR 7,500 net.
Q:
How many scenarios can we run?
A:
As many as are decision-relevant. Three to five main scenarios for the pilot, plus sensitivities per parameter. In operation the model re-runs at any time with new assumptions — without rebuilding it. That is the point of the calculable model versus the Excel copy.
Circonomit testen
Sprechen Sie in Ruhe mit dem Team.
Erstgespräch bei einem digitalen Kaffee
Wir verstehen Ihr Problem
Pilotmodell in 3 Wochen, Fixpreis 7.500 €
Auf Basis Ihrer realen Daten. Erfolgskriterium schriftlich vereinbart
Entscheidungen, die Sie vertreten können
Nachvollziehbar, quantifiziert, wiederholbar
